Thursday, October 13, 2011

Picks of the Week

Ok, my homer pick hit last week bumping my season record to 5-0-1. Not to shabby.

So, I don't normally like to lay big numbers, but this week is a little exception.

LSU -16 Tennessee ***
Well on the surface this looks to be the pick of the weekend, and when you dig deeper it looks even better. LSU is taking a top 5 ranked defense into Knoxville to face Dooley's Vols. This is the second week in a row that Tennessee will face a top 10 defense, and last week it proved to be a painful match-up. Not only did they manage to put up just 12 points, but their starting QB got knocked out of the game. Dooley was quoted yesterday on the loss of Bray "a blow to the spirit", and playing the number one team is not a good time to have a blow to the spirit. This will also be the Chief's first trip back to Rocky Top. So you know he will have his defense fired up. Couple that with the close game last year, and the fact that the Vols have really bad special teams, and I look for LSU to be working on several short fields. Short fields for the number one team in the nation equals lots of points. Tennessee's total rushing yards in two SEC games is -22 yards, and that equals very few points. I like LSU big here 38-10.

Stanford -21 Washington State ****
Stanford for some reason is flying a little under the radar. Is it the east coast bias? Is it that people don't like tree-hugging hippies? Whatever the case may be, the Cardinals are rolling. This year they are 5-0 ATS. Not only have they covered every game, they have covered by an average of 13 points over the number, and 4 of the 5 games had a spread over 21 points. So basically this is a no brainier. My prediction Stanford 48 Washington St 14.

On the Season: 5-0-1

Oklahoma (-3) Florida St.  [final score Okla 23 - Fl St 13]

Stanford (-9.5) Arizona [final score Stanford 37 - Arizona 10]

UGA (-10) Ole Miss [final score UGA 27 - Ole Miss 13]

Bama (-4) Florida [final score Bama 38 - UF 10]

Georgia Tech (-10) NC State [final score Ga Tech 45 - NC St 35]

UGA (-1.5) Tennessee [final score UGA 20 - Tenn 12]

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